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13 May 2024
In Brief
The 2024-25 Victorian State Budget was delivered on 7 May 2024 by Treasurer Tim Pallas.
This year's Victorian Budget centres on relieving cost of living pressures, with a continued focus on improving the healthcare system, boosting education and focusing infrastructure spending on certain projects in Victoria. The Government expects to return to an operating surplus in 2024-25, stabilising net debt as a percentage of its Gross State Product (GSP) for the first time since the pandemic and says it is now focusing on reducing net debt as a proportion of GSP.
The Victorian Government anticipates total revenue in 2024-25 will be $96.1 billion, which is expected to grow by an average of 3.6% per year up to 2027-28. Taxation revenue is forecast to be $39 billion in 2024-25 with annual growth of 5% per year up to 2027-28.
Total general government sector expenditure is expected to be $98.3 billion in 2024-25 and is expected to grow by an average of 2.2% a year, reaching $105 billion in 2027-28.
In Detail
The net debt to GSP ratio is a measure of the State’s debt compared with the size of the economy and provides an indication of the State’s ability to service its debt. The Budget focuses on reducing and stabilising the net debt to GSP ratio through what the Government refers to as ‘measured investments’ in education, healthcare, housing and transport infrastructure.
Net debt is projected to be $156.2 billion at June 2025 and is forecast to increase to $187.8 billion by June 2028. As a proportion of GSP, net debt is projected to be 24.4% in June 2025 before reaching 25.2% by June 2027 and then declining to 25.1% by June 2028.
Starting from 1 July 2024, the Victorian Government will:
The Budget provides increased funding to enhance tax compliance undertaken by the State Revenue Office, with $15.6 million allocated for the 2024-25 year, increasing to over $18 million for each of the following three years.
The Budget provides $996 million towards Big Build transport projects, including funding to operate and maintain new transport infrastructure and preparing for the opening of the Metro and West Gate Tunnels. The Budget has also provisioned $130 million for the repair and improvement of Victoria’s road network.
Healthcare is a focus of the Budget, with an $11 billion, multi-year contribution to the healthcare system and $1.7 billion in hospital and health facility upgrades. This includes:
The Victorian Government will provide cost of living relief by supporting additional funding for early childhood education and schools. Education initiatives under the Budget include:
There is a continued focus on Victoria’s energy transition and the environment more broadly, including:
Revenue initiatives in the Budget include:
The Takeaway
The emphasis on reducing the net debt to GSP ratio will see reductions in the average spending on Government infrastructure over the forward estimate period with the Government prioritising funding on certain projects. The Budget did not provide for any significant revenue raising initiatives that have not yet already been announced.
If you would like to further discuss this alert, reach out to our team or your PwC adviser.
Barry Diamond
George Papadakos
Denise Tan
Senior Manager, Tax, PwC Australia
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